← All fixtures
GROUP J · MATCHDAY 1 · FULL TIME
🇦🇹 Austria 3 — 1 🇯🇴 Jordan
Pre-Match Odds
Austria
46%
Draw
32%
Jordan
21%

Prediction vs Result

Pre-Match Prediction
Actual Result
Austria 46%
→
Austria WIN
Draw 32%
→
—
Jordan 21%
→
—
Predicted: AUSTRIA ✓ CORRECT  ·  Brier Score: 0.44
SEASON RECORD: 7/12 CORRECT (58%)

Pre-Match Prediction

Most likely: Austria — 46.3% confidence
Expected total goals (xG sum): 2.1

Post-Match Review

Model predicted: Austria WIN (46%) — most likely 2-0
Actual result: 🇦🇹 Austria 3 — 1 🇯🇴 Jordan
What the model got right
  • ✅ Correct winner prediction (Austria WIN)
  • ✅ xG edge correctly identified (Austria 3.00 vs Jordan 0.31)
What the model missed
  • ❌ Scoreline significantly underestimated
Key factors not captured
  • → No significant model blind spots identified

Scoreline Probability

2-0
17.0%
3-0
17.0%
4-0
12.7%
1-0
10.8%
5-0
7.6%

Team Strength

Austria
Jordan
1583
ELO
1404
0.83
xG For
0.53
0.53
xG Against
0.83
1.91
Attack Str
0.64
0.64
Defense Str
1.91
Upset Probability: 0% Dixon-Coles v1